Adrian is approaching hurricane strength - 4:42PM EDT
As expected Tropical Storm Adrian has strengthened to 60 mph and 997 mb. Tropical Storm Watches and Warnings now cover much of the Central American coast. Look for Hurricane Watches to possibly be posted soon. I am now fully expecting Adrian to be a hurricane before landfall. I will give a more complete update later when I have time. For now I left the latest Public Advisory below. If this trend continues, Adrian could survive the trip over Central America and reintensify in the Caribean. However, this is still unlikely conditions are less favorable in this area. NHC still has yet to update their predictions but at this point, given current trends, Hurricane Adrian is looking increasingly likely.
Below is the official Public Advisory for the National Hurricane Center:
AT 2 PM PDT...2100Z...THE GOVERNMENT OF EL SALVADOR HAS UPGRADED THE TROPICAL STORM WATCH TO A TROPICAL STORM WARNING AND A HURRICANE WATCH FOR ALL OF EL SALVADOR.
AT 2 PM PDT... 2100Z... THE GOVERNMENT OF HONDURAS HAS ISSUED A TROPICAL STORM WATCH FOR THE PACIFIC COAST OF HONDURAS... INCLUDING THE GULFO DE FONSECA.
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE ENTIRE PACIFIC COAST OF GUATEMALA.
INTERESTS IN CENTRAL AMERICA SHOULD CLOSELY MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF THIS SYSTEM.
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS... PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.
AT 2 PM PDT...2100Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM ADRIAN WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 10.9 NORTH... LONGITUDE 92.5 WEST OR ABOUT 295 MILES... 475 KM... SOUTHWEST OF SAN SALVADOR EL SALVADOR.
ADRIAN IS MOVING TOWARD THE EAST-NORTHEAST NEAR 8 MPH...13 KM/HR. A GENERAL MOTION TOWARD THE NORTHEAST IS EXPECTED TO RESUME LATER TONIGHT WITH A GRADUAL INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 60 MPH... 95 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. SOME STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS...AND ADRIAN COULD BECOME A HURRICANE ON THURSDAY.
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 60 MILES
... 95 KM FROM THE CENTER.
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 997 MB...29.44 INCHES.
OUTER RAINBANDS CONTAINING GUSTY WINDS AND LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL ARE ALREADY AFFECTING THE COASTAL AREAS OF GUATEMALA...AND SHOULD BEGIN AFFECTING EL SALVADOR TONIGHT. RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 6 TO 10 INCHES...WITH ISOLATED HIGHER AMOUNTS OF NEAR 20 INCHES IN THE MOUNTAINS...CAN BE EXPECTED IN ASSOCIATION WITH ADRIAN. THIS SYSTEM ALSO HAS THE POTENTIAL TO PRODUCE TORRENTIAL RAINFALL OVER OTHER PORTIONS OF CENTRAL AMERICA DURING THE NEXT FEW DAYS.