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May 19, 2005

Adrian is not looking like a threat to the Atlantic

I have seen some discussion from people wondering if Adrian is really a threat to the Atlantic. In response I attached below a chart of sea surface temperatures (SSTs). Tropical systems need water to be at least 27C to support development. Water are plenty water enough in the eastern Pacific right now. However, as you can see, water in the Atlantic are still very cool. It is possible that we may see Adrian briefly reform in a Tropical Storm in the Caribean before htting Cuba but that is about all I see being possible. With that in mind, this does not preclude heavy rains from causing damage if Adrian makes landfall a second time.

Tracking God's Fury:
ATLANTIC
Tropical Storm Maria
Tropical Storm Nate
Hurricane Ophelia
EASTERN PACIFIC
  • None
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