Watches and Warnings posted for Gulf Coast
As you can see above, Tropical Storm Watches, Tropical Storm Warnings, and Hurricane Watches now cover much of the Gulf Coast. Anybody ready for the next round? While I don't expect this storm to be a hurricane at landfall, it could be close. I will post more as I have a chance to take a closer look.
Arlene is looking much healthier now that she is in the Gulf. You can still clearly see multiple centers in the visible satellite image. However, a recent flare in convection in the IR satellite shows that she is getting better organized and the circulation may be consolidating to the northeast. I am currently thinking that there is about a 40% chance that we will be talking about Hurricane Arlene at landfall. Currently winds are at 60 mph sustained and central pressure is 1000 mb.