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July 06, 2005

Dennis showing increased signs of organization, New Orleans soaked

Tropical Storm Dennis is still showing signs of increased organization. So far the hurricane hunter aircraft have only found surface winds around 65 mph, lower than the 70 mph previously thought. I doubt this is a sign of weakening, but rather the first real numbers we have seen in a while. However, they have founds signs of dropping central pressure. One of the aircraft reported a central pressure of 987 mb, a sure sign of strengthening. The latest round of computer models continue to track Dennis further south and west. Dennis is showing very healthy outflow, distinct banding, and it continuing to struggle to develop an eye. Dennis could become a hurricane at any moment. The latest GFDL model run brings Dennis to 127 kts and 931 mb in 48 hours! Regardless of winds, further rains across the Gulf Coast and interior could prove to be devestating. Take a look at some of the reported rain total from Cindy:
...LOUISIANA...

GALLIANO 7.56 THROUGH 7 AM CDT
GRAND ISLE 6.37 THROUGH 7 AM CDT
SLIDELL 6.29 THROUGH 7 AM CDT
NEW ORLEANS/ALGIERS 4.99 THROUGH 7 AM CDT
NEW ORLEANS LAKEFRONT 2.95

...MISSISSIPPI...

PASCACOULA 6.61
GULFPORT 6.50
VANCLEAVE 6.03 THROUGH 7 AM CDT
BILOXI/KEESLER AFB 4.76

...ALABAMA...

MOBILE/BATES FIELD 6.55
THEODORE 3.54 THROUGH 7 AM CDT
FOWL RIVER 3.52 THROUGH 7 AM CDT
FAIRHOPE 1.86 THROUGH 7 AM CDT


Additional rain in this area could easilly lead to inland flooding, the leading killer in hurricanes. The hurricane hunters are still flying through Dennis and more will follow when they issue their final report.

Tracking God's Fury:
ATLANTIC
Tropical Storm Maria
Tropical Storm Nate
Hurricane Ophelia
EASTERN PACIFIC
  • None
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