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StormTrack has moved: http://thestormtrack.com/

July 09, 2005

Hurricane Warnings posted for parts of Gulf Coast, models converge

The last advisory on Dennis reports max sustained winds at 100 mph and a central pressure of 967 mb. While this a substantial weakening from before, and even since leaving Cuba, the central convection around Dennis is now much more healthy. Hurricane Dennis appears to be trying to reintensify but is running out of time to do so. The eyewall has been very ragged lately but seems to be solidifying. Right now Hurricane Dennis over a cooler eddy in the Gulf but should be moving over warmer waters in several hours. AT its current intensity, one good burst of convection could send Hurricane Dennis up to category 3 again. As I forecasted last night, the 12z computer models have locked in on a central Gulf Coast landfall somewhere between Destin and Biloxi. Hurricane Warnings have been posted in this general area. I am currently still like Ft Walton, FL as my landfall point as either a category 2 or 3 hurricane. The latest data is showing a stronger than expected blocking pattern of Louisiana which seems to be sparing New Orleans and pushing a right shift in the track.

Issuing WFO Homepage Hurricane Local Statement
New Orleans / Baton Rouge, LA Click Here for LIX
Tallahassee, FL Click Here for TAE
Key West, FL Click Here for EYW
Birmingham, AL Click Here for BMX
Miami, FL Click Here for MFL
Tampa Bay Area, FL Click Here for TBW
Jackson, MS Click Here for JAN
Mobile, AL / Pensacola, FL Click Here for MOB

The death toll from Haiti and Cuba is now up to a total of 32 and is expected to rise as more reports filter in to reporters.
Tracking God's Fury:
Tropical Storm Maria
Tropical Storm Nate
Hurricane Ophelia
  • None
  • --
    Ask Bryan:
    What steers hurricanes?
    What is eyewall replacement?
    Jordan Golson
    Bryan Woods