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July 03, 2005

TD 3 forms in Atlantic

Tropical Depression 3 has just formed in the Atlantic. It will soon cross of the Yucatan of Mexico, enter the Gulf of Mexico, and head towards Texas. While over the Gulf, the depression is likely to intensify into a tropical storm if it survives the journey. Also worth noting, another tropical depression may be forming in the Pacific. Another well organized tropical wave is located about 350 miles east of the windward islands.

While satellite imagery and forecast models indicate weakening, upper level conditions over the Gulf support strengthening. It is worth noting that I really don't keep much faith with computer models when it comes to intensity forecasts. While some do decently with track, intensity continues to be an issue that forecaster gut tends do better. Often the track, too, needs to be adjusted after accounting for intensity changes.
Tracking God's Fury:
ATLANTIC
Tropical Storm Maria
Tropical Storm Nate
Hurricane Ophelia
EASTERN PACIFIC
  • None
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