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July 11, 2005

Welcome Tropical Storm Emily

Everyone welcome Tropical Storm Emily to the family! Incredible, July 11th and we are on 'E'. Currently Tropical Storm Emily is listed at 45 mph and 1003 mb. This is down from 1008 mb earlier today. The guidance is INCREDIBLY consistent on the track of Tropical Storm Emily. Even by 120 hours, the only vary by 120 nm! Emily is expected to slowly intensify for 36 hours and then possible rapidly deepen has high pressure builds overhead. My gut tell me that this one could be big. Of course if you think 'E' is good, don't look now. There is another strong tropical wave not far behind Emily. From the NHC outlook:
A VIGOROUS TROPICAL WAVE IS LOCATED ABOUT 850 MILES SOUTHWEST OF THE
CAPE VERDE ISLANDS...OR ALSO ABOUT 875 EAST-SOUTHEAST OF TROPICAL
STORM EMILY. DESPITE ITS LOW LATITUDE POSITION...THIS SYSTEM
CONTINUES TO SHOW SIGNS OF ORGANIZATION AND CONDITIONS APPEAR
FAVORABLE FOR AT LEAST SOME SLOW DEVELOPMENT OVER THE NEXT COUPLE
OF DAYS AS IT MOVES WESTWARD AT 10 MPH.

Could Franklin be right behind Emily and ready to show his face? As a note with any systems this far south, the Coriolis effect is not significant below 10 degrees latitude. As these system move north, look for them to develop much more significant circulations. That is why Emily has fairly strong winds from a new tropical storm but a less well defined circulation.
Tracking God's Fury:
ATLANTIC
Tropical Storm Maria
Tropical Storm Nate
Hurricane Ophelia
EASTERN PACIFIC
  • None
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