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August 28, 2005

Hurricane Katrina expected to devastate New Orleans

I am going to make this very simple. If you are in Mississippi or Lousiana near or below sea level, GET OUT!!! This is one of the largest hurricanes in the history of North America. This is forecasted to hit New Orleans and if it does, the city will be devastated. The levies will breach and the winds will be like on giant F3 tornado. This very scenario has been on femmes worst case natural disaster list for years. This storm makes Hurricane Camille look small. For an idea of what New Orleans is dealing with, check out this report.

Current sustained winds are at 175 mph and the central pressure is now down to 906 mb.

The latest model runs all call for a direct strike on New Orleans. The only model bringing the storm away from the city is the Eta model. The Eta model NEVER does well with any tropical systems so I am paying little attention to it.

This huge burst in strength is being fuelled by an area of very high Tropical Cyclone Heat Potential in the Gulf. Look below and you can see how much energy is out there to fuel this storm. While slight weakening is likely, significant weakening is not expected.
Tracking God's Fury:
Tropical Storm Maria
Tropical Storm Nate
Hurricane Ophelia
  • None
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    Ask Bryan:
    What steers hurricanes?
    What is eyewall replacement?
    Jordan Golson
    Bryan Woods