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August 26, 2005

Katrina downgraded to a tropical storm, for now

After making landfall over the Broward / Miami Dade county line, Katrina was downgraded to a tropical storm with winds of 70 mph and a central pressure of 990 mb. However, I think this is going to be a very short-lived weakening. Katrina is already out over the Gulf of Mexico and barely clipped Florida. The eye is clearly still intact on radar and Katrina is forecast to regain hurricane status very quickly.

The SHIPS and GFDL models, our two most dependable for intensity, both strengthen Katrina into a major hurricane before a second U.S. landfall in the Florida panhandle.
Here we go again... I think everyone up there should know the routine by now. My gut tells me that Katrina could mean business in the Gulf. NHC seems to be feeling the same thing in their forecast. I think they may be holding back as their latest forecast discussion is sounding much more serious. Already at least four people have been killed as a result of Katrina and over one million are without power.
Tracking God's Fury:
Tropical Storm Maria
Tropical Storm Nate
Hurricane Ophelia
  • None
  • --
    Ask Bryan:
    What steers hurricanes?
    What is eyewall replacement?
    Jordan Golson
    Bryan Woods