Tropical Storm Nate forms off the Southeast coast
It seems like this tropical season is continuing its record pace. By tonight we already have Tropical Storm Nate and looks likely that Ophelia will be born within a couple of days. The first advisory for Tropical Storm Nate shows a storm with winds of 40 mph and a central pressure of 1005 mb.The current NHC forecast calls for strengthening to a strong tropical storm but the models do not seem very reliable for this storm. Just take a look at the intensity forecasts below.
NHC's official forecast track seems like a shot in the dark at this time. Note the large circles depicting very little certainty with a slowly moving storm.
Their uncertainty clearly stems from the computer models which seem to have no good handle on the storm.


