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May 19, 2005

Adrian Update: 200PM EDT



2PM EDT Advisory for Hurricane Adrian
BULLETIN
HURRICANE ADRIAN SPECIAL ADVISORY NUMBER 9
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
11 AM PDT THU MAY 19 2005

...AIR FORCE PLANE INDICATES THAT ADRIAN IS A HURRICANE...

AT 11 AM PDT... 1800Z... THE GOVERNMENTS OF GUATEMALA AND EL SALVADOR HAVE UPGRADED THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING TO A HURRICANE WARNING FOR THE PACIFIC COAST OF GUATEMALA FROM SIPACATE EASTWARD TO THE EL SALVADOR-HONDURAS BORDER.

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE PACIFIC COAST OF HONDURAS... INCLUDING THE GOLFO DE FONSECA... AND FOR GUATEMALA FROM SIPACATE WESTWARD TO THE GUATEMALA-MEXICO BORDER.

INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN CENTRAL AMERICA SHOULD CLOSELY MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF THIS SYSTEM.

AT 11 AM PDT...1800Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE ADRIAN WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 12.6 NORTH... LONGITUDE 90.6 WEST OR ABOUT 120 MILES... 195 KM... SOUTHWEST OF SAN SALVADOR EL SALVADOR.

ADRIAN IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHEAST NEAR 9 MPH... 15KM/HR... AND A GENERAL NORTHEASTWARD MOTION...WITH SOME INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED... IS LIKELY OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS. ON THIS TRACK...THE CENTER OF ADRIAN WILL BE VERY NEAR THE COAST WITHIN THE WARNING AREA LATER TONIGHT.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE INCREASED TO NEAR 75 MPH... 120KM/HR... WITH HIGHER GUSTS. ADRIAN IS A CATEGORY ONE HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON SCALE. STRONGER WINDS... ESPECIALLY IN GUSTS... ARE LIKELY OVER ELEVATED TERRAIN. SOME ADDITIONAL STRENGTHENING IS POSSIBLE BEFORE LANDFALL.

HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 15 MILES... 30KM... FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 70 MILES... 110 KM.

THE LATEST MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE REPORTED BY A RECONNAISSANCE PLANE WAS 982 MB...29.00 INCHES.

RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 6 TO 10 INCHES...WITH ISOLATED HIGHER AMOUNTS OF NEAR 20 INCHES IN THE MOUNTAINS... CAN BE EXPECTED IN ASSOCIATION WITH ADRIAN. THESE RAINS ARE LIKELY TO CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUD SLIDES.

STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 2 TO 4 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS... ALONG WITH LARGE AND DANGEROUS BATTERING WAVES... CAN BE EXPECTED NEAR AND TO THE EAST OF WHERE THE CENTER MAKES LANDFALL.
Tracking God's Fury:
ATLANTIC
Tropical Storm Maria
Tropical Storm Nate
Hurricane Ophelia
EASTERN PACIFIC
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